Landmark two-year RCT in Zambia puts mobility poverty on the policy agenda.
Photo credit: World Bicycle Relief image library
November 25, 2025 – LUSAKA / CHICAGO – A groundbreaking study announced today by World Bicycle Relief and IDinsight provides the strongest evidence yet that simple, reliable bicycles can build climate resilience and accelerate recovery in mobility-challenged rural communities—transforming how governments and development agencies think about last-mile transportation. Results from the two-year randomized controlled trial (RCT) in Zambia’s rural Mumbwa District show that when adults gain access to reliable bicycles—supported by local shops, trained mechanics, and spare parts—they don’t just move faster. They earn more, eat better, have access to more services, and recover sooner after economic and environmental shocks.
The study followed more than 1,300 adults and community health workers over two years, a period that coincided with one of Zambia’s worst droughts in four decades. In the first year, households with bicycles maintained income and food security, while the control group experienced a steep decline in living standards. In the second year, the control group only saw slow, partial recovery, while bicycle recipients surged ahead.
In the second year, bicycle recipients’ incomes rose by up to 50% for women, and overall consumption climbed by 29%. Community health workers also used their bicycles six times more often per month to transport patients to health facilities. The data offers rare proof that bicycle mobility can accelerate recovery, build household resilience, and strengthen rural economies.
“This study confirms what we see every day in our programs. A bicycle is more than transport—it’s a catalytic tool. It gives people back their time, connects them to opportunity, and builds resilience that endures beyond crisis. When mobility becomes part of the development agenda, people move from surviving to thriving.”
This research is built to move decision-makers from evidence to adoption, providing rare, causal evidence that bicycles operate as sustainable and cost-effective last-mile infrastructure for public services and local economies. A complementary cost-effectiveness analysis by IDinsight, grounded in the study’s finding that bicycle ownership increases household consumption by $47 per month, estimates a 14.7× social return on investment over five years—meaning every dollar invested in World Bicycle Relief’s Buffalo Bicycles generates nearly $15 in social and economic value. As governments, donors, and implementing partners seek proven solutions to strengthen access to healthcare, education, and livelihoods, this study makes one message unmistakably clear: investing in bicycle mobility is investing in building resilience, productivity, and progress.
“Reliable mobility may be the most overlooked driver of progress. Our research shows that bicycles—when supported by a local service ecosystem—offer one of the most impactful and cost-effective ways to strengthen livelihoods, expand access to care, and build resilience across rural economies.”
For more information or to access the full study, please visit worldbicyclerelief.org/idinsight.
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Founded in 2005, World Bicycle Relief mobilizes people through the Power of Bicycles. As a pioneering non-profit social enterprise, World Bicycle Relief has distributed over 940,000 bicycles and trained over 4,100 mechanics to provide greater access to education, healthcare, and economic opportunities, uplifting communities worldwide. Discover more about our mission, impact, and vision at WorldBicycleRelief.org.
IDinsight is a mission-driven global advisory, data analytics, and research organization that helps global development leaders maximize their social impact. We tailor a wide range of data and evidence tools, including randomized evaluations and machine learning, to help decision-makers design effective programs and rigorously test what works to support communities. We work with governments, multilateral agencies, foundations, and innovative non-profit organizations in Asia and Africa. We work across a wide range of sectors, including agriculture, education, health, governance, sanitation, and financial inclusion.
For media inquiries, contact: Michael Kelly, Communications Director World Bicycle Relief mkelly@worldbicyclerelief.org +1-831-359-1839
Landmark two-year RCT conducted by IDinsight and World Bicycle Relief in Zambia
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